It is a curious fact that the most dubious political. leader can find support in Britain. And in a country whose one and only military dictator is lauded as a hero by much of the Socialist left it is not all that odd perhaps that a military man who resorted to seeking power democratically after the failure of the coup d’état that he led, a caudillo, a strongman leader of his people who likes his followers to wear the same colour shirt as himself, should receive so much support. In Spain, where Latin American affairs are reported more widely, and where people have a closer awareness of a what a dictatorship is, the view is rather different.
Has Chávez done a lot for the poor of Venezuela? Yes he has. But the problem is that he has done it in a spirit of pure populism, buying easy support by handing out cash without keeping proper public accounts. That would lead to corruption anywhere, and in Latin American more so than usual. What is more, the money he has been handing out has come from oil revenues, which leads to two problems: it has not been reinvested in the maintenance of the oil industry, which is suffering, and he was doing so at a time of high oil prices and strong demand. Now that the recession has brought the price of oil to a third of what it was a year ago, his national income has fallen correspondingly. There is also the problem that the State-run oil company is not only being used as a direct source of funds but it is being used as a management agency for the social programmes that Chávez is running – a task for which an oil company is not obviously fitted.
It is true that there are worse leaders than Chávez, but that does not make him a democrat and it does not mean that if he becomes President for life, which is unquestionably his intention, he will not become very nasty indeed. It was reported in Spain after the referendum last year, when the announcement of the result was delayed far longer than the count required, that Chávez had had to be forced by the head of the army to accept his defeat; and that, after lengthy overnight negotiations with the opposition, the announced result was considerably closer than the actual one.
What does the ineffable Guardian have to say about all this?
[Chávez] has threatened to cut off national funds and send tanks on to the streets of those states that end up in the hands of opponents. He has called for the imprisonment of the main opposition leader, Manuel Rosales, whom he has accused of corruption and even plotting his assassination. He has used the country's secret police and Cuba's G-2 spy agency to bug Rosales's telephone calls, and broadcast his conversations in television advertisements. He has abused his right to cut into live programming with emergency announcements that turn out to be his latest speech. Even given Mr Chávez's penchant for speaking at full volume, this is desperate stuff … When Human Rights Watch published a damning report in September accusing his government of taking over the courts and cowing the media, trade unions and civil society, Mr Chávez's response was to kick its authors out of the country. He should instead take the criticism and think back to those days, a decade ago, when he pledged to uphold a constitution that guaranteed basic rights. His revolution would be longer-lived for it.
And the Guardian’s overall verdict?
Venezuela is a vibrant democracy.
Well, I suppose that it depends what you mean by democracy.
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